Elliott Sainsbury

A new paper by me, @reinhardkh, @alexbakey, @Len_Shaffrey, @KieranBhatia and Kevin Hodges was published in MWR today! We look at why some post-tropical cyclones reach Europe but others don't: doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-… Press release: reading.ac.uk/news/2022/Rese…

Love having to routinely pay £75 for a 45 min journey, with the privilege of being packed in like sardines because getting the right number of carriages on the train is too much to ask. Congrats @GWRHelp, you continuously surprise me for all the wrong reasons 👏👏👏

Viva done and dusted! 😁 Huge thanks to @reinhardkh, @Len_Shaffrey, @alexbakey, Kevin Hodges & @KieranBhatia for being such fantastic supervisors over the last three years, and to @cgrams_lsdp and Oscar for such an interesting discussion. Definitely going to miss @UniofReading !

Stronger hurricanes that are reenergised by jet stream winds are twice as likely to cross the Atlantic and wreak havoc in Europe than weaker ones, new research from @UniRdg_Met @AtmosScience @Sainsbo46 has found. Read more: reading.ac.uk/news/2022/Rese…

At a renaming ceremony on campus last week, the Meteorology Building was renamed after one of its most distinguished professors, Sir Brian Hoskins - recognised by many as the pre-eminent dynamical meteorologist of his generation. Find out more: ow.ly/Vhif50KOVYj

And that's a wrap. PhD thesis submitted!😁 Looking forward to a much-needed holiday before joining the Weather Team at Citadel towards the end of the month

My first PhD paper is out ! 🥳 We meant it to be a guide for anyone wishing to track TCs to get an idea of the existing methods, their caveats and how to choose a tracker. I hope some of you might find it useful for their work! gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/67…

Most ex-hurricanes that reach Europe travel across the region currently experiencing record warm SSTs (fig from doi.org/10.1029/2020GL…, adapted from doi.org/10.1029/2020JD…). This year, they might have a bit more fuel

Fourth (and final) paper from my PhD has just been submitted! If you want to know more about how well CMIP6 models capture tropical and post-tropical cyclones and are curious about how they might change in the future, you can read the preprint here: wcd.copernicus.org/preprints/wcd-…

40C in London in July 2022 would have been 36C without human-caused climate change - new rapid @wxrisk study highlights huge role of climate change in deadly heat. worldweatherattribution.org/without-human-…

A look back at the GEFS modelling in the run-up to the extreme heat that impacted the UK in mid-July 2022. Whilst the GFS Det jumped around with each run, there was a fairly consistent (and growing) signal from the ensembles for potentially record-breaking temperatures... 🌡️

At least 29 observation sites across England have provisionally broken the previous all time maximum UK record of 38.7 °C this afternoon Here are some of the provisional maximum temperatures so far today #heatwave #heatwave2022

🌡️ A temperature of 39.1°C has provisionally been recorded at Charlwood, Surrey If confirmed this will be the highest temperature ever recorded in the UK⚠️ Temperatures are likely to rise further through today 📈 #heatwave #heatwave2022

This map highlights the places that are forecast to be hotter than the UK on Tuesday. It's about 1.2% of the planet's surface.

The intensity of the heat lifting north out of Spain & Portugal is simply staggering.