Ryan Heath
@RyanJ_Heath
Sharing actionable football data to help you win leagues and arguments | Lead Data Writer @FantasyPts @FantasyPtsData | Probably tweeting about Christian Watson
HUGE new article! Somewhere between only ~6-20 players matter in every fantasy football season, per data from actual leagues. Inside, I tell you exactly where to find them. My most in-depth and actionable piece ever. ...Anatomy Of A League Winner. fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2…
@RyanJ_Heath’s great article showed 1D/RR is very predictive for breakouts We also know Y2 is a WR breakout year Ladd being second to only Puka among rookies in 1DRR is wild Definitely keeping an eye on Whittington too if a WR ahead of him gets hurt
Ladd McConkey next to Justin Jefferson seems good
REMEMBER: Tucker Kraft ⁃ Led all TE’s in broken tackles (15) ⁃ Led all TE’s in YAC/reception (9.3) ⁃ Led all TE’s in ESPN YAC Score (72) TE’s typically peak at Age 25 (via @RyanJ_Heath). Guess how old Kraft turns this year? 25.
New Article up on Thinking About Thinking: We all know rookie WRs are screaming up boards. Do we still draft them? And should it change the entire structure of our drafts? Here's how it's shifted my 2025 drafting strategy🔗⬇️
Rush attempts per start by Greg Roman QBs 2011: 3.3 (Alex Smith) 2012: 3.2 (Smith) > Smith went on to average 5.1, 3.3, 5.3, 3.2, and 4.0 attempts/start with the Chiefs/without Roman over the next five seasons 2012: 6.0 (Colin Kaepernick) 2013: 5.8 (Kaepernick) 2014: 6.5…
Justin Herbert could be Josh Allen if he wanted. It's merely a matter of will.
DraftKings Week 1 player pricing vs. full season DraftKings ADP... Note: This only considers Week 1 main slate eligible players (Justin Fields is the QB11 by ADP, but the QB6 by ADP among slate-eligible players).
Ryan (of course) gets it A++ article from one of the premier writers in the industry
I got so frustrated with boomers like @ScottBarrettDFB fading Travis Hunter that I wrote a thinkpiece about it. If Dave Canales said he'd play Tetairoa McMillan on just 40% of the routes if he didn't outperform Xavier Legette... How would you rank TMac? fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2…
Best Ball Breakdown with Neil Orfield! | Come ask your questions in the chat! x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
OC Klint Kubiak on Ken Walker: "I’m really excited about him in this zone scheme. But I’ve seen Ken, in all schemes, play really good football. I’ve seen the guy catch the ball well out of the backfield, which I think is really important for our backs that we utilize them.…
Some notable variances compared to 2023 here: - Barkley was at +2.0 goal line FPOE in 2023, but -0.8 on a much better team in 2024. Think it's likely he scores more at the goal line this year - Mostert/Achane combined for +2.1 in 2023, Achane fell to -1.5 in 2024. Same take.
Fantasy Points per Game Over Expectation on plays inside the 5-yard line (Basically, how lucky/unlucky was each RB on goal line opportunities in 2024?) 1/luckiest. Bijan Robinson [+3.0] 2. Kyren Williams [+1.8] 3. Derrick Henry [+1.3] 4. Jahmyr Gibbs [+1.1] 5. Josh Jacobs…
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Dynasty Points | Finding Value By Comparing Seasonal and Dynasty ADPs x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
Dynasty Points | Finding Value By Comparing Seasonal and Dynasty ADPs x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
This was a great research episode with some good jokes along the way. Anatomy of a league winner: @RyanJ_Heath youtu.be/xb_j1PswYMY
Had an awesome time talking through Anatomy of a League Winner with Josh and Hayden. Go check it out!
The Anatomy of a 2025 Fantasy Football League Winner with @RyanJ_Heath 🧠 7 seasons of data, trends and research that point us to 12 names that could win leagues this season youtu.be/xb_j1PswYMY