Ray Duch
@RayDuch
Senior Research Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford. Visitor @IAST1 Toulouse. Director @Talk2Machine
We’ve just finished our marathon 10 hour LLM workshop! Fantastic papers and excellent discusssants + very engaged participants- thanks!
🎥 Watch @RayDuch’s invitation to the LLM Workshop at #EPSA2025! A deep dive into how AI is reshaping social science research. 📅 June 25 | 📍 Foyer, Auditorium 👥 With Livia Schubiger 🔗 epsanet.org 🔗 talkingtomachines.org #LLMs #AI #PoliticalScience
Excited to share that @AnthropicAI has launched its Economic Futures Program! As a member of their Economic Advisory Council, I’m thrilled about this initiative supporting research and policy development on AI’s economic impacts. Research grants up to $50K available!
We are thrilled to announce that the Board of Trustees have awarded Assistant Professors Carly Wayne (@CarlyNWayne) and Ted Enamorado (@TedEnamorado) tenure! Their award goes into effect July 1st. Congrats to both! Read more on our site: buff.ly/4q6665K
Our latest election forecasting article focuses on political economy models in the US, UK, Mexico and Ghana. Check it out! sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
This #IMEBESS2025 pre-conference event is awesome opportunity to showcase your #LLM coding skills! Please check it out. @EnriqueFatas @JordiBrandts @Slysts
Sign up for #IMEBESS2025 Synthetic Replication Games, 1-day in-person LLM replication competition on 21 May 2025 Valencia organized by @Talk2Machine . Results presented @ #IMEBESS2025 (22/24 May 2025) @UEValencia @RayDuch @europsa Sign up here by 2 May: imebess.org/srg/
🚀Do external threats unite or divide Americans? ➡️Using real-world primes, @EddySFYeung & W.Xu find no evidence that threats from China shifted U.S. foreign policy preferences or worsened Democrats’ and Republicans’ affect toward each other cambridge.org/core/journals/… #FirstView
Do you have new, exciting work on #PoliticalEconomy? Submit to the Pol Econ workshop at the #SummerForumBSE (coorganized w/ @renikolopov, @RDurante_2020, M Petrova, G Ponzetto, and M Reynal-Querol!)
📄 Call for papers: BSE Summer Forum 2025 (40+ workshops this year!) ⏰ Submission deadline: Feb 28 Visit the #SummerForumBSE webpage to download calls and submit your paper ➡️ bit.ly/4hcR5qA
Congrats Zeynep
A sliver of good news for me in a world that feels like it's on fire is that I got promoted to full professor at the University of Texas at Austin today.
Application Deadline approaching for LLM Pre-Conference Workshop @ #EPSA2025 Madrid 25 June 2025 Please apply w/t abstract by 28 February 2025 using this forms.office.com/pages/response… @liviaisabella13 @europsa @Talk2Machine
Just published on APSR First View: "Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia" by Erica DeBruin (@esdebruin), Gabriella Levy (@levy_gabriella), Livia Schubiger (@liviaisabella13) & Michael Weintraub (@miweintraub83). cambridge.org/core/journals/…
How do you know when a mechanism is externally valid? In“Sign-Congruence, External Validity, and Replication," @tara_slough and @scottatyson develop a framework for accumulating evidence across multiple studies and develop theoretical foundations for replication.
Deadline is tomorrow Feb 15th to submit papers to #IMEBESS2025 22-24 May 2025 in beautiful Valencia, Spain @UEValencia. Attention experimental and behavioral social scientists please submit paper proposals to imebess.org. @europsa @EnriqueFatas
Eager to hear feedback from anyone who applies causal inference about this recent work with this amazing group of people @pdebartols @JavierAbadM @Guanbo17 @DonhauserKonst @RayDuch and Issa Dahabreh.
Looking for a more efficient way to estimate treatment effects in your randomized experiment? We introduce H-AIPW: a novel estimator that combines predictions from multiple foundation models with real experimental data. arxiv.org/abs/2502.04262
This is joint work with amazing collaborators: @JavierAbadM @Guanbo17 @DonhauserKonst @RayDuch @FannyYangETH and Issa Dahabreh. Code: github.com/jaabmar/HAIPW
🚨 LSE Postdoc Fellow in Political Behaviour 🚨 We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great team @LSEGovernment! Please spread the word and reach out with questions! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/68…
I'm excited to be travelling to Oxford tomorrow for the Artificially Intelligent Social Science Conference I'm organizing w @RayDuch. Any grad. students interested in attending, send me an email :)
Out today in PNAS – well-identified evidence from our 16-country study: pandemics are global but political responsibility attribution is local & health outcomes trump the economy pnas.org/doi/epub/10.10… Tom Robinson @PeejLoewen Alexei Zakharov @PNASNews
Please consider applying to present at the third edition of our Early Career Researchers in Law and Courts workshop. This year we will meet at @NuffieldCollege , Oxford. cc @michal_ovadek @DanielNaurin
Attention experimental and behavioral social scientists! @EnriqueFatas is hosting #IMEBESS2025 22-24 May 2025 in beautiful Valencia, Spain @UEValencia. Please submit paper proposals to imebess.org deadline 1 February 2025. @europsa
Today is the day. Please submit!🔔 Reminder: Call for Papers – EPSA XV, June 26–28, 2025, Madrid! 📢 Submit your proposals by Dec 18, 2024 for the 15th EPSA conference at UC3M (Puerta de Toledo campus). 🔗 Submit: coms.app/epsa2025/welco… 🌟 Details: epsanet.org
