Prediction News

Big news!!! Prediction market platform @Kalshi has partnered with xAI to launch Grok-powered news insights on Kalshi markets. @GerlacherC breaks down the full details of the partnership: predictionnews.com/news/grok-powe…

Is Vine coming back?? Kalshi traders just shot up the odds of X re-launching Vine this year from 23% → 67%

On the latest episode of Prediction News Podcast @GerlacherC and @WALLACHLEGAL discuss some major developments in the prediction market industry. Check out their live reaction to the breaking news that Polymarket has secured a CFTC-regulated pathway back to the U.S. ⬇️

Zohran Mamdani is a HEAVY favorite to win the NYC mayoral election. Prediction market platform @Kalshi is forecasting Mamdani with a 73% chance to be the next mayor of NYC. Other candidate odds ⬇️ Cuomo: 14% Adams: 10% Sliwa: 3% Walden: 1%

"PredictIt was granted most of its proposed settlement terms with the CFTC, ending its long legal saga." @GerlacherC covers the full settlement and what it means for the future of prediction markets ⬇️ predictionnews.com/news/inside-pr…

This is a wild market 😭 "Who will be arrested before 2027?" from @Kalshi Which name shocks you the most?

NYC Mayoral Odds: Zohra Mamdani is now the heavy favorite at 72% on Polymarket. Cuomo: 13% Eric Adams: 10% Sliwa: Still in it (technically)

BREAKING: Three federally recognized California Indian tribes have sued Kalshi and Robinhood in CA federal court, alleging that the two companies are unlawfully engaging in sports betting by offering sports-outcome event contracts on the tribes’ Indian lands in violation of IGRA.

California Tribes Sue Kalshi and Robinhood: What To Know Via @PredictionNews_ predictionnews.com/news/californi…

Our latest Prediction Market Pulse newsletter covers: - Trading ideas around Emmys, Spotify, and Trump's mascot crusade - Industry news including Polymarket’s return to the U.S. and legal battles over sports event contracts - Whale Watch Full read: predictionnews.substack.com/p/late-show-li…

Severance leads the Emmy market for Drama Series on @Polymarket with a 65% chance to win the award. Does any other drama series have a chance to beat the favorite?

"The Fantastic Four: First Steps" debuts this Thursday night in theaters. Kalshi's @RottenTomatoes movie market has some pretty high hopes for this film, forecasting an 86% chance it scores above an 82 by critics. 🍅👀

New episode: @GerlacherC and I break down the latest developments in the prediction markets landscape: - Kalshi counsel’s RG FU - Blanche Lincoln’s 180 - Polymarket Back in the USA - Market access barriers - CA4 boon to Maryland Via @PredictionNews_ youtu.be/0kZT2cY3hCE?si…

Will Dana White bring the Octagon to the White House? Odds on Kalshi for a UFC fight located at the White House by the US’ 250th anniversary have bounced between 63–70% all month. Would you tune in if this happened?

Check out our latest episode of Prediction News Update where we cover: - State lawmakers’ reactions to prediction markets at NCLGS Summer meeting - Polymarket returning to the states - How the boom years will look for this industry m.youtube.com/watch?v=0kZT2c…