Phillips P. OBrien
@PhillipsPOBrien
Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrews; Author of The Strategists (Summer 2024): https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/461611/the-strategists-by-obrien-phil
Which calls have I gotten wrong on the war @Dominic2306 ? You were the one who wanted to sacrifice Ukraine to Russia in 2022 as it had no chance. I will take you through my positions.
The 'professor' and 'expert' - 🤡 Philips O'brien, the Cadwalladr of IR academia - who told you the Selzer poll wd trigger 'a stampede' of polls showing a Kamala victory 🤣🤣- after spending 2 years getting every major call on Ukraine war laughably wrong - is now 'explaining'…
The US will not go back to what it took on as a global role in 1947 and Europe better be prepared for it.
Hi All, I just released this piece on a possible paradigm shift in US public opinion and foreign/defense policy. Signs are that this goes beyond Trump to something more profound. The US will probably not be going back to what it was in the future and the world needs to adjust.
Hi All, I just released this piece on a possible paradigm shift in US public opinion and foreign/defense policy. Signs are that this goes beyond Trump to something more profound. The US will probably not be going back to what it was in the future and the world needs to adjust.
Lots of unhappiness in Russia as Azerbaijan president Aliev accepts a gift of shoulder patches of Ukrainian army brigades from a Ukrainian journalist and tells her: “Continue on the same path.”
Hi All, I have had technical issues sending out my weekend update on substack today. I do not know what is happening—but hope it gets fixed soon. What I can do is edit old posts. So I have cut a pasted this weeks update and put it at the start of last weeks.
Remember when people here ranted that Ukraine's brilliant Spiderweb operation would "provoke a devastating russian response"? Instead, it showed again: russia isn't invincible. Ukraine's resolve exposes russian weaknesses. russia can be defeated — and must be defeated.
Hi All, for those waiting for my weekend update…it’s been written and ready to go for 8 hours. Unfortunately, something is wrong with my Substack account and it won’t let me publish. I’ve written them directly to see what is going on. Hopefully will be fixed soon.
I don’t want to nitpick on details for the sake of cancelling another war journalist. All I want is for NYT and the world press to not normalise moral equivalence or embedding with known war criminals in a fascist military. My op-ed for @KyivIndependent: kyivindependent.com/beneath-the-pr…
Sent this piece out yesterday afternoon. The US is now facing a dilemma after the way it chose to use airpower in Iran.
Well, we are starting to get more detailed damage assessments from the US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities--and as is normal, one night of raids seems to have failed to achieve its objectives. The US is now facing the dilemma of restarting the bombing or admitting failure.
The former head of Germany‘s Social Democrats has travelled to Moscow multiple times since the start of Russia‘s full scale invasion. Investigation by @christogrozev @traufetter and myself @derspiegel (1) spiegel.de/politik/deutsc…
Logistics, the Allies’ wonder weapon | @DuncanWeldon engelsbergideas.com/essays/logisti…
Well, we are starting to get more detailed damage assessments from the US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities--and as is normal, one night of raids seems to have failed to achieve its objectives. The US is now facing the dilemma of restarting the bombing or admitting failure.
As @PhillipsPOBrien would know as an expert on war strategy and tactics, one bombing run is never sufficient. Ask Ukraine.
Well, we are starting to get more detailed damage assessments from the US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities--and as is normal, one night of raids seems to have failed to achieve its objectives. The US is now facing the dilemma of restarting the bombing or admitting failure.