Nigel Gould-Davies
@Nigelgd1
Senior Fellow for Russia & Eurasia, IISS. Contributing editor, Survival. Fmr UK Ambassador to Belarus. Film-maker. Stalking survivor. Views mine.
A thread on the history of political risk. We’ve all heard of it. But who coined the term, and why? It might surprise you /1
I commend @KyivIndependent detailed reporting on the bill that threatens to neuter post-Maidan anti-corruption institutions — and related worrying and baffling developments.
Ukraine faced a watershed moment on July 22 as parliament passed, and the president signed, a bill that effectively eliminates the independence of the country's anti-corruption institutions. kyivindependent.com/potential-elim…
My latest for @IISS_org. Cautiously more optimistic than many others about the Trump’s disillusionment with Putin.
Trump’s relationship with Putin has never been worse. If NATO implements its new spending commitments, and Trump his sanctions, time may no longer be on Russia’s side. Read @Nigelgd1’s full analysis. go.iiss.org/46nstJ2
An exceptionally fluid moment in international relations. I am more cautiously optimistic than many. Thread 🧵 👇
Trump returned to the White House with policies and rhetoric tilted in favour of Putin. Six months on, their relations have never been worse. I explore some implications in this piece for @IISS_org just out: iiss.org/online-analysi…
Personal news, which I rarely share here. Today my stalker was sentenced to 6 years for a “campaign of psychological cruelty”. She has a “long and truly appalling” criminal record, and has spent her life “in the pursuit of crime and in harming others”. My deepest thanks to…
Eternal City hosts #Ukraine️ Recovery Conference. An opportunity for excellent and illuminating discussion with @ChrisTrott, our Ambassador to the Holy See.

Firstfruit of Macron’s state visit. French to lend record of their biggest victory over us.

Yulia Svyrydenko’s Wikipedia entry has her as Ukraine’s PM-elect: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yulia_Svy…
Ex-Kursk governor dead. His successor charged with corruption in April.
Former Russian Transport Minister Roman Starovoit dies by suicide just hours after President Putin fired him from the job, officials say cnn.it/4ljf89c
Time for a new scene in “Hamilton”.
Putin declared that Russia has helped the United States gain independence from Great Britain and helped the North in the Civil War. Putin the historian has switched from Slavic history to US history. Earlier, he said many times that Ukraine was invented by Russia and that…
Good grief. Russian Communist Party preparing to denounce Khrushchev’s 1956 secret speech that denounced Stalin.
In today’s Russian papers: more Russians trying to do their own dental fillings with DIY kits “due to rising cost of dental treatment.” Sanctions causing "chronic illness" for Russia's economy. Plus, the rehabilitation of Stalin continues. #ReadingRussia
Excellent trip to Brussels. Should NATO revive its Economic Committee (1957-2010) to address the centrality of economic power in meeting Russia’s threat, as in the Cold War?

The persistent failure of British Overseas Territories to introduce corporate transparency —thereby defying parliament’s will— abets malign and criminal actors that threaten our security. theguardian.com/business/2025/…