Nicoper
@NicoperJES
My alter ego, focused on investing 馃崁 I write on Substack and SeekingAlpha hoping for constructive arguments http://nicoper.substack.com/about
I like beautifying my simulator outputs. Give me your favorite company and tell me what you consider to be a period of comparable operating model (length of timeseries in which the business was managed as today, irrespective of the price). I will give you the results. 馃崁


Wanted to check something on Terravest and pressed enter at an odd moment. What is this now?



One habit I have is to describe a business I like in unfavorable way, in order to break my own confirmation bias. Found this for Vysarn. Made me laugh.

The consistency is really good Organic growth rates Q4 '24 +27% Q1 '25 +30% Q2 '25 +29% Q3 '25 +27% Q4 '25 +28%
Updating my Monte Carlo toy with some ai recommendations how to better visualize the data. This is far from accurate price prediction. Rather it is something I use to understand the probable volatility (since volatility is only an estimate, and never a direct measure).

Enghouse - no cheap enough, Conexxion - too concentrated and in service of the management instead of owners, Janison Education - early turnaround with low certainty of turning around, Plover Bay - too expensive for political risk. Last month of my research. Nothing interesting馃崁
Transaction settled today. This was an odd opportunity, probably due to low float. Found it by accident since Janison Education reminded me of them. It is nice having a small portfolio sometimes馃崁
Proeduca Altus delisting will occur in next few days. Better not to calculate annualized return. 馃崁
I am not finding any news about BFF Bank. Anyone aware of something fundamentally relevant?