More Births
@MoreBirths
Ideas for reversing the collapse in global fertility, the greatest challenge of our age. Humanity is precious. HT to many great demographers and data analysts.
Colombia has had one of the fastest fertility drops in the world, from 2.57 births/woman in 2000 all the way down to 1.2 in 2024. How can it be that Colombia, with a GDP of 7K per year, has a fertility so much lower than the US? And why is this happening across Latin America? 🧵
📉 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the Americas: A Quiet Revolution Here are the most recent TFR figures (2023 or 2024) for the 10 most populous countries in the Americas, based on national statistical agencies: 🇺🇸 United States: 1.63 🇧🇷 Brazil: 1.47 🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.60 🇨🇴 Colombia:…
.@Nike releases a pro-family ad, signaling a cultural shift by calling having a family a “win”—more meaningful than any championship. We need more of this. Get married and have babies.
Since 1950, there have been only two countries on Earth that fell below replacement fertility and then achieved a lasting recovery. In my newest article, I explore what those two countries did and why we need what I call strong pronatalism.
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"more $ does yield more babies … [but] modest [$] benefits in Mongolia & Kazakhstan don't seem like their main story … leaders were willing to … ask … mothers to have a lot of children & then reward them with status when they do" Yes, status is strong, but v. hard to move.
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