Jeremy Cliffe

🚨New publication!🚨 With input from experts across @ECFR's network, @TaszuC, @CamilleLons, @arturo_varvelli & I have explored the foreign policies of Europe's populist parties - and how these might play out over the coming years. Read the study here ⬇️ ecfr.eu/publication/ri…

It’s no exaggeration that Ukrainian public opinion is in an absolute firestorm after the parliament today approved a law essentially dismantling independent anti-corruption agencies, just days after SBU raided key investigators. The law isn’t enacted until Zelensky signs it — and…

Why on earth should the European union be willing to accept, as it seems ready to do, the 15% tariff? Are we really so weak that this is the best we can hope for?

If the US and UK halted military assistance to Israel and the EU suspended its trade agreement aid would be flowing into Gaza.

As Europe seriously contemplates retaliation against US tariffs as a way of striking a better bargain, I’m reposting Tobias Gehrke’s excellent overview of Europe’s economic arsenal. The bloc has more leverage than commonly assumed. ecfr.eu/publication/br…

📢Internship Opportunity! Applications to join us as an Event, Communications & Research Intern at the Paris Office CLOSE on Thursday 24th July. Learn more and apply: ecfr.eu/jobs/

Europe's leverage in Middle East is patchy. Two windows of opportunity: 1) Ellie Geranmayeh on how E3 (🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪) can use Iran sanctions "snapback" for deescalation ecfr.eu/article/snap-o…, 2) Muhammad Shehada on Hamas's quiet opening to arms decommissioning ecfr.eu/article/decomm…

It is inconceivable that—having experienced the pain of military strikes—snapback can force Iran to accept the US demand of zero-enrichment of uranium, writes Ellie Geranmayeh, deputy director @ECFRMena Click to read her new commentary in full: bit.ly/3TLY4wu

Everyone should have an interest in a unified and peaceful 🇸🇾, but that require careful diplomacy and responsible neighbors. With 🇮🇱 now bombing and intervening in 🇸🇾 it looks as if it seeks a fractured state that will be unable to recover from the horrible Assad dictatorship.…

In their latest essay for @ForeignPolicy, Ivan Krastev, IWM Albert Hirschman Permanent Fellow, and @leonardbenardo1, Senior Vice President at @OpenSociety, explore why we turn to historical analogies to navigate today’s uncertainties and upheavals. foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/30/his…

It's funny. It sounds like Meloni is telling the Commission that a trade war with the United States would be a disaster. But it's the United States that's threatening one...

The dollar is off to its worst start to a year in more than half a century. For more insight visit this morning's Chartbook Top Link. Click the link in comment!

Tariffs on EU goods just announced: 30% across the board, probably higher in some sectors. Being nice, giving up the digital tax, did not achieve anything for Europe. Intelligent retaliation is of the essence, even if it leads to dangerous economic and geopolitical waters in…

It's interesting that the EU did absolutely everything in its power to avoid a trade war and still got blasted - No fines for X - Abandoning digital tax - 5 percent spending on NATO - US-friendly China policy

An unfashionably positive - yet pretty persuasive - take on the gradual improvement in UK-EU relations.

🍃In a Trumpian world, Europeans must drive climate action through stronger climate partnerships with countries across the globe, write @sd270 and @MatsEngstrom in the new policy brief for @ECFRPower Here's how Europeans can act: bit.ly/4kxpWPE

My take ⬇️ for @ecfr on how Europe (and the US) can manage the increasingly dangerous Turkish-Israeli rivalry after the war in Iran. Axis of unease: Why Europeans should try to manage a Turkey-Israel rivalry | ECFR ecfr.eu/article/axis-o…

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are different in a multitude of important ways. But they nonetheless offer some common lessons for Europeans on the importance of air superiority to military victory, writes @JyShapiro: bit.ly/400cQTO