Jamie Coutts CMT
@Jamie1Coutts
Chief Crypto Analyst, @Realvision | Built the crypto research product at Bloomberg Intelligence | Freedom over Fear. Always. #Bitcoin
This week had it all. The DXY saw its 4th largest negative 3-day move--massively liquidity-positive. Just as Bitcoin nuked and had its worst Feb in a decade. Meanwhile, in altcoin land, the Top 200 crypto index puked one more time. The chart shows that 365 days of New Lows hit…
Small allocation. Less rebalancing. So simple yet bewildering to many.
While $BTCs size & liquidity vs bonds is a constraint for many managers looking to diversify, our analysis of rebalancing offers a partial solution ==> if portfolios, originally rebalanced monthly to limit drift, were rebalanced less frequently, performance ⬆️ significantly.
Raoul saw early that crypto + macro would rewrite the market’s operating system. I learned here. Now I’m fortunate to help build that OS from inside RV Pro as one of four analysts. So much still to build.
So proud of what we do at Real Vision Pro… it means a lot to me!! This wouldn’t be possible without our RV rockstars: @BittelJulien @AndreasSteno @Jamie1Coutts Onward!
Stack sats. Optimize health. The revolution is now—monetary and healthspan. Put in the work for the next few years, and by 2030, you and your lineage will reap the rewards.
I remain incredibly bullish on Bitcoin. But as someone covering the full crypto asset class, it’s clear the broader crypto economy is one of the fastest-growing techno-economic systems in history — even with its primitive tooling, scaling bottlenecks, and friction. Smart…
If you remember 2002–2008, the last major dollar depreciation lit a fire under EM equities and commodities. EM outperformed DM by 3x as capital chased high-growth, young economies — giving rise to BRICS. Crypto is today’s EM. Capital is moving where the energy is. Fiat is…
Future headline in Australia "Domestic Banks to Allow BTC as Collateral for Mortgages; Property Ponzi Can Continue"
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US Federal Housing Finance Agency issues order to count Bitcoin & crypto as an asset for a mortgage.
Blockchain fees have fallen 50% from their Q4 2024 peak, yet historical liquidity cycles suggest on-chain activity is set to explode. While lower costs per transaction pressure aggregate fees, this will be offset by a surge in volume. Imagine big-box retail, Amazon, and even…
While BTC is still treated as a risk-on asset by fast money traders, its medium-to long-term trajectory is increasingly shaped by large allocators who see its emergence as a non-sovereign, neutral bearer asset—like digital gold. That’s why it may trade like risk in the short term…
Sublime thread from @paulguerratv of a presentation at @RealVision . Thanks for putting it together!
🚨The world is broken. But we now have the tech to fix it... AI, Blockchain & #Bitcoin aren’t just buzzwords — they’re the solution to a collapsing global economy. [thread] 🧵
Bitcoin has rallied 40% since April 10 which was when my global liquidity aggregate (GLI) after 3 years broke out to new all time highs on the back of a plummeting US dollar. Since then the aggregate is up 2%. Bitcoin's Q2 rally is entirely consistent with liquidity regimes of…
This is the playbook. Critical knowledge you won't find taught at our universities and schools. Masterclass from @BittelJulien @RaoulGMI
The Everything Code TL;DR. The labor force participation rate isn’t going to rise anytime soon – it’s set to keep declining over time. This is a structural problem… We’ve got aging demographics, falling birth rates, and now the rise of automation. Humans are already being…
When BlackRock talks Bitcoin with clients, they downplay the “risk-on” and “digital gold” narratives. Instead, they highlight BTC’s role as a hedge against monetary, political, and system instability. The rationale is evolving—so is the investor base: pensions, sovereigns,…
Bitcoin passed another test this year. As risk tanked in Q1, BTC outperformed the world’s top equity market in volatility-adjusted terms. But the first deviation from its usual risk-off reaction was the SVB collapse in 2023—I wrote about it then as sign of its transforming…
If Bitcoin is to become a global reserve asset, it must perform during a liquidity crisis. When $BTC rallied 40% into a US banking crisis this year, it was the first time the world's first decentralized asset outperformed in a serious liquidity stress test. 🧵
Bitcoin's sensitivity to global liquidity explodes during these regimes.
Market breadth indicated new highs for the S&P 500 back in May. US Earnings Season has surprised significantly on the upside with a 6.9 percentage point surprise. More liquidity via big beautiful bill, Stablecoin Bill, and increasingly likely changes to the SLR for banks.
