John Hagner
@JHagner
Intense amateur patissier. Minnesota transplant. Pollster, data analyst, co-founder of @WorkbenchStrat
While families in Florida’s 7th District are looking for answers and leadership, @CoryMillsFL is turning his back on the people he was elected to serve and instead siding with his political bosses in Washington instead of standing up for transparency.
Breaking News: Speaker Mike Johnson said he would shut down the House until September to block a vote on calling for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files. nyti.ms/4nZtblR
* a path for Stefanik to be the R Gov nominee, after which she will get stomped in the general. Not an actual path to becoming Governor.
NEWS: Rep Mike Lawler, R of New York, plans to seek re-election in his crucial Hudson Valley swing seat next year rather than run for governor, he told The NYT on Wednesday. A boon for House Republicans, this also clears a path for Stefanik for gov nytimes.com/2025/07/23/nyr…
We just got the photos back from our June wedding and being married is great. I'm really grateful for generations of people who fought through a lot of shit to make it possible.

I made a bunch of viennoiserie this morning. The fellas up front are sugared plum windowpanes with vanilla creme pat and plum jam.

Seeing myself in the promo image for The Floor on my Delta flight just now is the surreal highlight of the day.

Old and busted: the leftwing dream of our own Tea Party Tired: liberal Joe Rogan The new hotness: Blueanon
Condolences to everyone in Washington DC with a birthday between now and Labor Day who will now be wished “Happy Birthday — and may every day be another wonderful secret” by a dozen different people
Anybody know if political parties get credit for positive macro economic trends while they try desperately to ignore rising inflation rates? I’m trying to remember.
BOOM. More strong economic data. *US JUNE RETAIL SALES RISE 0.6% M/M; EST. +0.1% *US JOBLESS CLAIMS 221,000 IN JULY 12 WEEK; EST. 233K *US JULY PHILADELPHIA FED EMPLOYMENT INDEX AT 10.3 VS -9.8
Auto pen perhaps
Trump says Powell is a terrible Fed chair and that he was surprised he was appointed. Trump appointed him Fed chair.
Woke up and went to the gym this morning even though I’m on the road and it involved a Metro ride and the instructor said my hang clean form was perfect and everyone should copy me, so I regret to inform you all that I’m starting a side hustle as a fitness influencer.
Communicating the nuances of redistricting to principals is really hard (I was the DCCC data director in a redistricting cycle so I know!) even when they’re smart and informed. This man is an idiot surrounded by toadies, so I wonder how he’s mangling whatever the real plan is.
Reporter: Are you calling for a complete redraw of the Texas congressional map? Trump: No, just a very simple redraw—we pick up five seats. A couple of other states where we will pick up seats also.
.@WidmannNoah narrowly outraises @CoryMillsFL in second quarter in CD 7 Reporting by @JacobOgles flapol.com/40k9sU0 #FlaPol
While Central Florida families struggle to afford rent, .@CoryMillsFL was evicted from his $20k/month luxury lease. Let’s evict him from Congress secure.actblue.com/donate/nwsocial
SCOOP: Rep. Cory Mills is being evicted for failure to pay months of rent at his D.C. penthouse. Owner claims Mills owes $85,000. He was served with notice for failure to pay in January. Ledger shows he paid late nearly every month since moving in, missing several months entirely
Lara Trump is clearing the NC Sen field already and she just married into the last name. I don’t think you can do these speculative polls without Donald Trump Jr.
Who do Republicans want to be their presidential nominee in 2028? JD Vance holds a sizable lead at 42%.