Election Time
@ElectionTime_
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Republicans can win the 2026 Georgia US Senate Election if they nominate Brad Raffensperger (R) to run against Jon Ossoff* (D). 2026 US Senate - Georgia 🟥Brad Raffensperger 44% 🟦Jon Ossoff* 44% Cygnal (R) | May 15-17 | 800 LV
Jon Husted* (R) leads Sherrod Brown (D) in his race to win a full term in the 2026 Ohio US Senate Special Election. 2026 US Senate Special - Ohio 🟥Jon Husted* 49% (+3) 🟦Sherrod Brown 46% YouGov/Bowling Green State University | April 18-24 | 800 RV
Joni Ernst* (R) struggles in the 2026 Iowa US Senate Election, according to a (D)-funded poll. 2026 US Senate - Iowa 🟥Joni Ernst* 45% (+2) 🟦Generic Democrat 43% Public Policy Polling (D) | June 2-3 | 568 V
John Cornyn* (R) leads in the 2026 Texas US Senate Election as he attempts to secure a 5th term. 2026 US Senate - Texas 🟥John Cornyn* 48% (+4) 🟦Colin Allred 44% YouGov/Texas Southern University | May 9-19 | 1,200 RV
Dan Osborn (I) is neck-and-neck with Pete Ricketts* (R) in the 2026 Nebraska US Senate Election, per a (D)-funded poll. 2026 US Senate - Nebraska 🟥Pete Ricketts 46% (+1) 🟨Dan Osborn 45% Change Research (D) | March 28-April 1 | 524 LV
The 2026 North Carolina US Senate Election is a dead heat following Thom Tillis'* (R) retirement announcement. 2026 US Senate - North Carolina 🟥Generic Trump Republican 48% 🟦Roy Cooper 48% co/efficient | July 10-14 | 694 LV
Mike Rogers (R) leads in the 2026 Michigan US Senate Election, according to a (D)-funded poll. 2026 US Senate - Michigan 🟥Mike Rogers 48% 🟦Mallory McMorrow:44% 🟦 Haley Stevens 47% 🟥Mike Rogers 45% Normington Petts (D) | June 12-16 | 700 LV
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🟦Zohran Mamdani is the projected winner of the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary, defeating Andrew Cuomo.
Mamdani leads Cuomo in the FINAL 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary poll. 2025 NYC Mayor Dem Primary (Final Round RCV) 🟥Zohran Mamdani 52% 🟦Andrew Cuomo 48%
This is my FIRST EVER 2026 Senate Map Forecast. Republicans are nearly guaranteed to retain control of the upper chamber. 2026 Senate Elections 🔴Republicans 54✅ 🔵Democrats 46 Currently, I expect the GOP to expand upon the 53 seat-majority they won in 2024.
This is the final 2024 House map. 119th Congress: US House 🔴Republicans 220 (+5) 🔵Democrats 215 The GOP holds onto House control for another two years after taking the majority in 2022. Source: NewYorkTimes
🔴NEW 2028 Republican Primary Poll: Vance leads big. 2028 Republican Nomination 🟥JD Vance 30% ------------------------------- 🟥Ron DeSantis 5% 🟥Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 🟥Nikki Haley 2% 🟥Robert Kennedy Jr. 2% 🔴Others ~10% ⚪️Undecided 51%
TRUMP IS 24% MORE POPULAR THAN BIDEN 🟥Trump Favorability (+8) Favorable 54% Unfavorable 46% 🟦Biden Favorability (-16%) Disapprove 52% Approve 36% Neutral 12% Emerson College | November 20-22 | n=1,000
🔵NEW 2028 Democratic Primary Poll: Harris leads big. 2028 Democratic Nomination 🟦Kamala Harris 37% ------------------------------- 🟦Gavin Newsom 7% 🟦Pete Buttigieg 4% 🟦Gretchen Whitmer 3% 🟦Josh Shapiro 3% 🟦Michelle Obama 2% 🟦Bernie Sanders 2% 🔵Others ~12% ⚪️Undecided…
TRUMP'S TRANSITION IS INCREDIBLY POPULAR Trump Transition Approval 🟥Approve 54% (+14) 🟦Disapprove 40% Harvard/Harris
🔴2028 Republican Primary Poll: JD Vance the heavy favorite. 2028 Republican Nomination 🟥JD Vance 37% (+28) ------------------------------- 🟥Vivek Ramaswamy 9% 🟥Nikki Haley 9% 🟥Ron DeSantis 8% 🟥Ted Cruz 5% 🟥Marco Rubio 5% 🟥Sarah Huckabee Sanders 2% 🟥Josh Hawley 1% 🟥Tim…
