Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK
🗳️ mapping uk election results & collating polling data. Also On: https://bsky.app/profile/electionmaps.uk
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Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 29% (+6) LAB: 23% (-3) CON: 17% (-7) LDM: 14% (=) GRN: 9% (+2) Via @JLPartnersPolls, 17-18 Jul. Changes w/ 6-9 Mar (!).
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 27% (-1) LAB: 23% (+1) CON: 17% (=) LDM: 15% (-1) GRN: 11% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @YouGov, 20-21 Jul. Changes w/ 13-14 Jul.
Nearly 14,000 predictions have been made in the first day (and a half) of launching this 🫡🫡🫡
🚨 | Now Live! 🧮 Predict the next election with our new custom Nowcast tool. 🗣️ Let me know what you think! electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
7 Council By-Elections coming up this week: - 4x CON Defences (Bromley, Dorset, Hertsmere, Lichfield) - 1x LAB Defence (Cardiff) - 1x LDM Defence (Dacorum) - 1x GRN Defence (Rutland)
🚨 | Custom Nowcast Model Launching Tomorrow! Input your own vote shares for the main 7 parties and see how it would play out in a General Election.
Westminster Voting Intention [16-17 Year Olds]: LAB: 35% GRN: 19% RFM: 17% CON: 11% LDM: 7% Via @focaldataHQ, 14-18 Jul.
Aggregate Result of the 68 Council By-Elections since the 2025 Local Elections: RFM: 23 (+20) LDM: 21 (+5) CON: 7 (-6) LAB: 6 (-15) GRN: 5 (+2) Ind: 3 (-2) SNP: 1 (=) PLC: 1 (=) Local: 1 (-4)
Prestatyn Central (Denbighshire) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 21.7% (-1.8) 🙋 Ind: 21.1% (New) ➡️ RFM: 18.4% (New) 🌼 PLC: 14.4% (New) 🌍 GRN: 13.6% (-35.4) 🌹 LAB: 9.0% (-14.5) 🔶 LDM: 1.8% (New) No Ind (-3.9) as previous. Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.
Baglan (Neath Port Talbot) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 37.5% (-16.8) 🙋 Ind: 28.2% (New) ➡️ RFM: 23.7% (New) 🌼 PLC: 7.9% (New) 🌳 CON: 1.0% (-14.1) 🌍 GRN: 1.0% (New) 🔶 LDM: 0.7% (New) No Ind (-30.5) as previous. Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.
St Martin's (Basildon) Council By-Election Result: ➡️ RFM: 44.6% (New) 🌹 LAB: 35.1% (-3.2) 🌳 CON: 13.5% (-7.1) 🌍 GRN: 3.5% (-8.9) 🔶 LDM: 1.6% (-7.8) 🧑🔧 TUSC: 1.1% (-6.3) 🔴 SDP: 0.5% (New) No Ind (-11.8) as previous. Reform GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2024.
Market Harborough Logan (Harborough) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 31.3% (+4.1) 🔶 LDM: 27.1% (-19.8) 🌍 GRN: 22.2 (+14.5) ➡️ RFM: 14.5% (New) 🌹 LAB: 3.4% (-9.1) 🙋 Ind: 0.8% (-4.8) ⚒️ COM: 0.7% (New) Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat. Changes w/ 2023.
Reform's record of never winning a seat they're defending continues...
Eccleshall & Gnosall (Staffordshire) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 44.4% (+10.1) 🌍 GRN: 27.3% (+8.2) ➡️ RFM: 24.7% (-10.3) 🌹 LAB: 3.7% (-3.9) No LDM (-4.1) as previous. Conservative GAIN from Reform. Changes w/ 2025.