Georgi Engelbrecht
@Durian_Diaries
Senior Analyst @CrisisGroup.Philippines and the rest. All views personal. http://crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/peo…
#Myanmar’s military regime is discovering new diplomatic opportunities as 🌏politics shift. 🇨🇳's recent moves to prevent the junta’s collapse, diminishing Western interest, chaotic 🇺🇸 #foreignpolicy & regional fatigue with a protracted conflict are reshaping the int'l environment
Myanmar’s trajectory remains uncertain. The regime’s planned elections will not resolve the crisis or boost the legitimacy of a post-election administration. crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
Hegseth's opening remarks at a meeting with defense ministers from Australia, Japan, and the Philippines: "We've got a lot of friends and allies and partners here, but none closer than this group, none more strategically positioned to manifest deterrence, to bring about peace."
Good news for the Oyster Bay facility in Palawan > From 1 to 5 M$ might be invested there soon > Follows previous US investment at Cavite NB as well as the donated National Coast Watch Center / NCWC (Raytheon-designed, paid by the US for 50 M$) news.usni.org/2025/05/15/u-s…
LOOK | STATEMENT OF THE NATIONAL MARITIME COUNCIL ON THE AGGRESSIVE ACTIONS BY THE CHINA COAST GUARD AGAINST PHILIPPINE CIVILIAN RESEARCH VESSELS, 23 May 2025
If this latest @CrisisGroup report is not on your weekend reading list yet, it should!
🚨 Our new series on Asia’s militarisation has arrived. In our 1st report of the series, @le2huong looks at how 🇺🇸 & 🇨🇳 are reshaping Indo-Pacific security architecture and why Beijing & DC should work together to manage risks of unintended escalation. crisisgroup.org/asia/north-eas…
New from @CrisisGroup.
The intensifying U.S.-China military competition is shaping threat perceptions in Asian capitals. Continued militarisation could aggravate the risk of conflict in a region already rife with multiple disputes. crisisgroup.org/asia/north-eas…
LOOK | A stretch of Taft Avenue in Manila turned into a river this morning, with gutter-deep flooding caused by heavy rains from the southwest monsoon enhanced by Typhoon #CrisingPH. 📸: Norman Cruz For the latest news, visit manilastandard.net
Bibi just blew up Trump’s diplomacy with Iran. What Trump does next could determine whether his presidency will be consumed by another war in the Middle East or not.
My bottom line on SecDef’s Shangri-La speech: The speech won’t be particularly popular in Southeast Asia. It will be seen as too confrontation and MAGA focused. But it was reassuring about continued US commitment, which relieve many who fear US withdrawal/distraction from Asia.
In case you missed it. The report: crisisgroup.org/asia/north-eas…
#ICYMI - @CrisisGroup webinar Asia in Flux and U.S.-China Military Competition Thanks to Mark Lambert, Lee Sue-Ann @ISEAS for joining us. h/t @Ali_Wyne youtu.be/EjbgSBfN29w?si… via @YouTube
I am pleased to represent PH at the ASEAN Senior Officials' Meeting in preparation for the 46th ASEAN Summit and Related Meetings. We discussed the importance of strengthening ASEAN centrality while expanding strategic partnerships. 1/2
Everyday legacies of the Pacific War. Santa Mesa, Manila.
Re-tweeting this thread. Today is the eighth anniversary of the conflict. More than hundred people are still missing. Tens of thousands still wait to come home.
The sixth anniversary of the Battle of Marawi - A (longish) thread overview of stories, analysis, and imagery.
Tune in! crisisgroup.org/asia/north-eas…
📅ONLINE EVENT | Asia in Flux and U.S.-China Military Competition 22/23 May | 8am Bangkok | 9am Singapore | 9pm Washington DC w/ Lee Sue-Ann, Mark Lambert, @le2huong, @Ali_Wyne and Pierre Prakash Registration ⬇️ us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
ICYMI : A short interview with the anchors of "The Big Story" on the recent elections in BARMM and the peace process. A tidbit also re: Manila's efforts to shift from internal to external security - part of a series by @CrisisGroup, coming soon. youtube.com/watch?v=9UBZwn…