Domer
@Domahhhh
Full-time political bettor since 2007. I don't tweet much, and we're all better off for it.
If you're interested in betting on anything as a serious endeavor, a few recommended reads: -Thinking, Fast and Slow -Intelligent Investor Ch 8 -Fortune's Formula -Cracking the Code - bloomberg.com/news/features/… -Deep Value -Big Short/Moneyball -When Genius Failed -Superforecasting
News: Polymarket is buying QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange (just authorized July 9) for $112M. The purchase will allow the crypto betting platform to legally re-enter the US market. W/ @sridinats & @nicola_m_white bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
The ending of these probes into Polymarket is phenomenal news. Shayne is a real one. He's a genuinely good dude. I'm feeling like I should write a little about this guy, because I am sure his life was hell last November. A few years ago, probably late 2020, in the first convo I…
8 months ago, on election night, we were on top of the world after Polymarket called the election. 8 days later, the FBI broke down my door at 6am and took all my computers and phones, looking for anything that could imply foul play. While traumatic, it etched the story of…
Fun conversation. The interviewer didn't realize he had personally lost me $5k last year when he shouted a question at Trump 😂
today i interviewed one of the most profitable and well known prediction market betters of all time: @Domahhhh youtu.be/ci-RJztE3GM?si…
With the current iteration of the "Big Beautiful Bill", the US is about to create a tax bracket above billionaires: people who bet for a living. I did the math, and my 2024 marginal tax rate would be ~40% under this bill. I'd owe almost another $100k to the government. Poker,…
Poker Is Under Attack In America Here’s my video about it: youtu.be/bAIyRqzdkwg
The June Fed decision has eclipsed $100m in volume on Polymarket, up from $88m in May. Kalshi also is now doing large volume, powered by retail flow from Robinhood. These markets are gigantic and still growing. Plus, they're more accurate than CME pricing! And yet the news…
Did a fun podcast with @halfkelly -- he's very entertaining.
NEW EPISODE: Betting on Chaos 🧵
So I just managed to make $100k on predicting the new pope today. If you're interested in reading how, I'll fully go through it. If you aren't, then see ya! But please say a quick prayer that I don't get excommunicated, thx. --- Alright, so normally I don't like to talk about…