Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombe
Executive Director @StateNavigate. #1 state legislative elections forecaster w/ @jhkersting. W-NOMINATE stan. Opinions my own. Contact: [email protected]
Help @StateNavigate cut through the noise: we're raising $ for our first public poll, starting with a VA statewide general election poll. We're $1.9K away from conducting a poll that asks about #VAGOV/#VALG/#VAAG/#VAHOD; donate today! statenavigate.org/state-navigate…
Corey Barsky is taking over as campaign manager for Winsome Earle-Sears. He works for Coldspark, the consultants that have been with her campaign for most of the year. This comes from a source close to the campaign.
How voters whose votes counted towards Adrienne Adams in the first round of the mayoral primary voted in the final round of the mayoral primary. 🔵 Zohran Mamdani - 15,700 (54.2%) 🟡 Andrew Cuomo - 13,281 (45.8%)
“Ultimately, unified beats divided anytime,” said Dr. Stephen Farnsworth. “And the Republican Party’s inability to really get together is yet another problem for a party that's already looking at a difficult year.” open.substack.com/pub/virginiapo…
Something I totally memory-holed was Northam doing worse than Clinton in Fairfax and the Beltway in 2017. This is the swing map by House of Delegates district from the 2016 presidential to the 2017 gubernatorial.
This is a great piece from @jmart, and it's good context to have before you check out the @StateNavigate forecasts on Monday. politico.com/news/magazine/…
Miyares is almost certainly going to be the best-performing Republican, and he's the only one with a competent campaign, so yeah
Brutal quote from House Republican Leader Terry Kilgore: “‘He’s going to lead the ticket,’ Kilgore said of Miyares, adding that ‘this is gearing up to be a 2001-type year.’” @jmart politico.com/news/magazine/…
Good ad
Who’s willing to talk with Virginians about what matters most to them — no matter the weather? @SpanbergerforVA. Meanwhile, @winwithwinsome can’t take the heat and is nowhere to be found.
Black Sabbath was instrumental to me in college and still is. RIP Ozzy.