Election Watcher
@CdnElectWatch
British Columbian, former Quebecer. I sometimes discuss politics (duh). (Real job: dismal scientist)
Assuming judicial recounts don't flip any results, I GOT THE BC ELECTION SEAT COUNT EXACTLY RIGHT!!! More than that, I also almost nailed the regional totals: - Van Island: 1 more NDP, 1 fewer GRN than projected - Metro Van: cancels out Van Island - Rest of BC: on the nose
BC election I'd say: - NDP 45-50, CON ~45 based on all polls (see map). - NDP ~50, CON ~40 based on online polls. - CON just shy of 50, NDP 40-45 based on IVR polls. GRN probably 1-2 (0 or 3 wouldn't be shocking). (I'm not accounting for BCU independents or most riding polls.)
In the end, turnout for these recall referenda was high - around 80% of the general election turnout - so poll results measuring overall sentiment were broadly accurate. Some likely voter screens failed miserably.
Recent polls consistently suggest a clear majority of voters oppose the recalls. However, they disagree on whether voters that plan to turn out favour the recalls, so it's very hard to tell what'll actually happen.
Male sluts that were not only shamed, but were prosecuted on evidence that was never going to establish criminal behaviour beyond reasonable doubt?
My last comment on the Hockey Canada sex assault case is a lot of you seem quick to call her a slut but the five men involved are what exactly?
More like the people that don't know the difference between "is guilty beyond reasonable doubt" and "did things that I disagree with and is possibly guilty."
The rape apologists, misogynists, incels and generally shitty, toxic men really revealed themselves yesterday.
Tell me you know nothing of the research frontier in economics without telling me.
"Economics today resembles Catholic theology in medieval Europe: a rigid doctrine guarded by a modern priesthood who claim to possess the sole truth. Dissenters are shunned. ... Neoclassical economics has become the Aeroflot of ideas." Much truth in this.
In Taiwan, bringing a camera, including a cell phone, into a polling station is forbidden unless it's turned off. Today, a voter had the misfortune of having his phone ring after voting but before leaving the voting place. By law, he will be fined between C$1,400 and C$14,000.