Joe Moss: Modified Dow Theory Signals

🚨Modified Dow Theory Report 7/18/25: US MDT +6.97% w/ Wilshire 5k confirm +6.91%. Last week +6.48% & +6.44. <Markets Tread Water Amid Earnings Anticipation and Political Noise. Best Months Of The Year Fully Over> Non US MDT for overseas is +8.65 above it's buy trigger.…

More weakness in Bitcoin this morning which really started yesterday as I pointed out. Squeeze indicator is really dropping and once that white dot disappears, momentum is much more to the downside. DMI is heading towards a green/red cross. MACD flipped negs. 112k support

Bitcoin Daily Chart says momentum continuing to weaken. Only thing that seems to be holding it up are the white dots on the squeeze indicator, meaning there‘s still some buying/trading propping it up, just less of it (dark green now). If we’re lucky we tread water rest of month.

SP 500 Futures targets and supports. Orange lines are mine. Dotted lines are not but what I trust as possibilities from others. Tapping on one of my targets right now.

Went hiking yesterday with just these steel reinforced toe socks. Supposedly can handle any terrain while grounding you (earthing). Path was rocky. While not hurting as bad as walking barefoot over small stones, I was hoping for more. Perfect for sidewalks, just dirt, grass.

Bitcoin hit our targets the last couple of weeks. But you can also see the 2 orange lines are also 2x resistance now as well. Next up $150k by end of year after a rest. Probably start around Sept as go time.

SP 500 Targets for rest of the year. Weakness next couple of months would reset. Possibly 7000.

SPX seems to still defy gravity, but once again, those momentum indicators are really looking tired. It’s possible the squeeze turns bright green again for another push higher but with seasonals turning and August being 2nd worst month of the year? Down soon. Flat if lucky,

True. My wife and I have been watching Ozzy and Jack’s World Detour, and just having a ball laughing with them. Ozzy wanted us to celebrate his life, not mourn. We could all learn to love a little more, I think. #Ozzy #BlackSabbath

Similar to my “just” previous Bitcoin post, the SP 500 is beginning to look pretty stretched. Squeeze turning dark green tends to be a sell signal. Same with DMI top green crossing below yellow (multiple time now), MACD tryimg to hold it up. Seasonal timing too.

Well that was surprising. Thank you Robert.

Bitcoin R2 support still holding but it’s been tested over and over to the downside meaning it’s getting weaker and will probably have trouble. If we can get past Sept without a major breakdown it bodes very well for end of year rally. MDT buy signal intact.

Pretty amazed at how SP 500 continues to pop up. But momentum is still slowly but surely turning sour, diverging. About 120 points to that next targer at 6445 with 6 trading days left to get there. Would love to see us get there but time is of the essence.

RIP Ozzy. Rest In Power.

In 4 months I turn 66. Every day a healthy blessing.

Yesterday I started a parasite cleanse. I’ve done herbal ones before. Using Iver and Feben this time around. Monitoring closely. So far so good. But I can see where eating healthy along with it is a benefit. Had a small personal pizza yesterday for dinner, tasted blah, not right

Good Morning 2: Bitcoin continues to hold 117k support, but that strength is lessening. Biggest thing pushing us up is Bitcoin Treasury Company buying. I’m bullish but seasonal drag is coming. Just might not be as bad this year. 7 days til new price monthyl target reset/support

Good Morning! SP 500 tapped our R1 target again yesterday and broke through to a new high after an extended flag sideways. Momentum continues to fade, just slower than this time of year usually does. 7 more trading days and we’ll reset our targets and support zone. MDT intact.

I trust this judgment call.