Braudel Marx
@BraudelMarx
Beyond the Waste Land: Geopolitics, Macroeconomics and Theory
On the track of Ibsen. "If you take the life-lie away from the average man, you take away his happiness as well."
beyondwasteland.net/p/chalices-of-…
'The formal casus belli would lie in Baku’s central role in the Israeli-influenced Operations Spiderweb and Rising Lion, aimed at the territorial integrity of both Russia and Iran. For Moscow and Tehran alike, the red lines crossed were not rhetorical, they were existential.'
Speculation on a Russian–Iranian pincer movement against Azerbaijan has an undeniable historical analogue: the dual invasion of Poland in 1939, transposed to the post-Soviet Caucasus. The formal casus belli would lie in Baku’s central role in the Israeli-influenced Operations…
👇🏻 An excellent and thorough analysis by Kevin of the factors around any possible Russian - Iranian action against Azerbaijan.
Speculation on a Russian–Iranian pincer movement against Azerbaijan has an undeniable historical analogue: the dual invasion of Poland in 1939, transposed to the post-Soviet Caucasus. The formal casus belli would lie in Baku’s central role in the Israeli-influenced Operations…
Reflections on this post of Kevin's. I was reading a while back that the Chinese as a matter of business do not seek to maximise profits but rather to maintain them at relatively modest levels; if I understood correctly, this is partly a matter of Confucian philosophy and a…
Capitalism, as Fernand Braudel argued, is not about free markets—it is about escaping them. It seeks out monopoly positions in order to extract super-profits for as long as possible, operating above the competitive fray. This is precisely why the term “techno-feudalism” is…
'Were Moscow haemorrhaging men & material...the logic of attrition would compel NATO to escalate. Killing another million Russians...would be strategically irresistible. That none of this is happening, & that calls for ceasefire now multiply across NATO capitals...'
My latest, link in first comment below:
Kevin (@BraudelMarx) delivers another classic must read. One of the best around
My latest, link in first comment below:
👇As always, a very thought provoking piece by Kevin. I would add something and that is this: Losing wars has consequences. One of those consequences is the exposure of the noble lie for what it is, and sometimes the result is far reaching deep disaffection that can have serious…
My latest, link in first comment below:
Chalices of the Lie: Noble Myths and the Poison of Denial, by @BraudelMarx beyondwasteland.net/p/chalices-of-…
'by amplifying the threat posed by Russia, the U.S. has solidified European dependence on US security. The resulting windfall....is a strategic return on manufactured insecurity. Europe now pays the U.S. a kind of protection rent worth 5% of GDP.'
The only coherent framework through which recent U.S. policy toward Iran makes sense is that of a protection racket—a strategy aimed less at resolving threats than at managing them for strategic rent extraction. The concept is drawn from the work of historian Frederic Lane, a…
This is a very cynical analysis, more than I'd like, of American foreign policy as strategic rent extraction, but it is also a very interesting perspective on recent events.
The only coherent framework through which recent U.S. policy toward Iran makes sense is that of a protection racket—a strategy aimed less at resolving threats than at managing them for strategic rent extraction. The concept is drawn from the work of historian Frederic Lane, a…
One and Done?, by @BraudelMarx beyondwasteland.net/p/one-and-done… ``If Iran now hopes to ascend and survive in a world governed by raw force, it must rapidly adapt its war-making capabilities and deepen its strategic alliances. ``
👇🏻 Kevin explains far better than I ever could what is really happening in the Israel/US vs Iran/China/Russia context.
The claim pushed by Trump and Netanyahu—that Iran’s nuclear program has been “obliterated”—is a classic Noble Lie. It serves not truth but strategy, giving the West a flexible pretext to justify ongoing violations of Iranian sovereignty while feigning resolution. Always remember…
Nicely done @BraudelMarx Was especially impressed by this
Link below:
👇
Fordow’s existence was exposed in 2009, giving Iran over sixteen years to construct additional, likely more advanced, enrichment facilities beyond the gaze of Western intelligence. The amount of highly enriched uranium believed to be at Fordow is estimated to be sufficient for…
‘In the best-case scenario, Iran responds to a nuclear attack not with retaliation but with revelation. A nuclear test—detonated beneath its own soil—marks an apocalypse in the original sense: an unveiling, a shattering of illusions.’ x.com/BraudelMarx/st…
beyondwasteland.net/p/apocalypse-i…