Adrian Raftery
@AdrianRaftery1
Statistician developing statistical methods for demography, atmospheric science & cluster analysis at the University of Washington. RT=interesting≠endorsement.
Science is under siege. Trump’s latest Executive Order that appoints politicians — not scientists — to evaluate research. Add your name to the open letter: actionnetwork.org/petitions/open…
Our paper, "A privacy-preserved and high-utility synthesis strategy for risk-based stratified subgroups of the Canadian scleroderma patient registry data" w Bei Jiang, Russell Steele & Naisyin Wang, just published in Ann Appl Stat: projecteuclid.org/journals/annal…
A call for scientific researchers to stand up for freedoms as well as funding: nature.com/articles/d4158…
Check out this #PAA2025 workshop
Our short course on Subnational Probabilistic Population Projections at @PopAssocAmerica 2025 sites.stat.washington.edu/raftery/PAAcou… will now be hybrid. To ask to join remotely, email [email protected] from your professional email by April 7 with subject “Join PAA workshop” & say why you want to.
Our short course on Subnational Probabilistic Population Projections at @PopAssocAmerica 2025 sites.stat.washington.edu/raftery/PAAcou… will now be hybrid. To ask to join remotely, email [email protected] from your professional email by April 7 with subject “Join PAA workshop” & say why you want to.
Journal webinar on Model-Based Clustering for Social Networks, w @mark_s_handcock, and discussion by @icgormley & @NialFriel, from the RSS @RoyalStatSoc: youtube.com/watch?v=qm65Ip…
🎉 📷 Excited to announce our 2025 COPSS Emerging Leader Award (ELA) winners. The COPSS ELA recognizes early career statistical scientists who show evidence of and potential for leadership and who will help shape and strengthen the field.
A man is known to speak the truth 3 out of 4 times. He throws a die and reports that it is a six. Find the probability that it is actually a six.
In honor of international women's day, let's take a moment to remember the most famous statistician in history. You've definitely heard of her, but you probably have no idea she was a statistician. It's Florence Nightingale.
Indeed, he not only taught me honours maths and physics in Dublin half a century ago, he introduced me to Martin Gardner's Sci Amer columns on recreational mathematics. Over three decades later, I got to meet Martin Gardner and in time played a role in the Gathering4Gardner org.
My mathematics teacher at @Stconleths, Michael Manning, died last night. He is second from right in this photo from the 2013 Hamilton Walk in Dublin, commemorating the discovery of quaternions. A great teacher who also taught @duncantl and Maurice O’Reilly. RIP
Game, set, match. The only message that matters. 🇨🇦🇺🇦
Obituary of John H. Wolfe (193302024), inventor of model-based clustering: imstat.org/2025/02/16/obi…
We are thrilled to announce Mary-Claire King of @UW as this year's recipient of the prestigious NAS Public Welfare Medal! She is honored for her pioneering genetic research and its transformative application to human rights. See the announcement: nasonline.org/news/2025-publ… #NASaward
We are now accepting applications for our Annual Workshop on Formal Demography, taking place in-person at UC Berkeley on June 2-6, 2025. Deadline to apply is March 10. See more information on the workshop and how to apply here: populationsciences.berkeley.edu/wp-content/upl… Please share widely!
The RSS Climate Change Task Force has released a guide to (UK) official statistics on climate. An excellent resource. rss.org.uk/policy-campaig…
Our Climate Change and Net Zero Task Force has released a guide to help you navigate the most reliable UK official statistics on climate, from everything from weather events to renewable energy usage 🌍 📖rss.org.uk/news-publicati…
Our first set of explainers from our Climate Change Task Force, chaired by @AndrewDGarrett & David Stephenson On the 1.5°C global warming target 🌎 ❓Why it was chosen, how it's defined, sources of uncertainty & local implications 📖Read them here: rss.org.uk/news-publicati…
in lecture on tuesday, I turned on voice memo in my iphone. had it transcribe lecture to text. I also took photos of the blackboard. Then, dumped it into gpt (o1) and asked it to make latex lecture notes single shot looks great. the students are stoked (not joking. ded serious)