AI Impacts
@AIImpacts
AI Impacts aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence.
People are concerned about AI, according to public opinion polls. How concerned are they and what are they worrying about? Do they support policies to mitigate risk from AI? Zach gives a quick summary in his blog post from this morning: blog.aiimpacts.org/p/us-public-op…
I just wrapped up a deep-dive reanalysis of the famous survey of AI experts by @katjagrace & colleagues. Let me walk you through some key takeaways (more nuance at the full report). 🧵...
New report, reanalyzing key results from the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI. With in-depth discussion of methodology, excellent new charts, and open-sourced codebase, all thanks to @tmkadamcz!
Notes on a small casual poll of Americans reading AI risk arguments: blog.aiimpacts.org/p/what-happens…
Our latest project. Do you find these arguments for AI existential risk compelling?
How compelling are arguments that AI is an existential risk? Here's a list of 10 such arguments risk I've collected with @nathanpmyoung There is a poll beneath each, so you can vote on how compelling you find it.
Which best explains the political polarization of environmentalism? - Small-government: The right dislikes any regulation - Al Gore: Environmentalist alliance with the left - Trust erosion: Blurring advocacy and science - Non-specific: High polarization across many issues
Environmentalism is a partisan issue in the US, with Democrats being much more environmentalist than Republicans. Do you think this was inevitable, given the state of the world in (say) 1950? Or could it have been a bipartisan issue, or even had the opposite polarization?
AI Impacts researcher Jeffrey Heninger looked into this earlier this year. You can read about it here: aiimpacts.org/wp-content/upl…
i wish the world were studying solar geoengineering more. clearly have misgivings about it, but it's so relatively cheap that i think some country is just going to do it if/when the climate crisis gets bad enough as a temporary patch. would be great to learn more before then.